Zigzag-Logistics

0x69adf268789f93b2c4da978870af74ae945f31e6

Skill vs luck

Zigzag-Logistics on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 30%–90%) · profit −$2.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Zigzag-Logistics: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x69adf268789f93b2c4da978870af74ae945f31e6. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Zigzag-Logistics: −$2.5K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 30%–90%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

−$2.5K

return −27.5%

Settled bets

$9.0K staked

Won

66.7%

95% range 30%–90%

Mostly bets on

other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Sep 17 – Oct 2: −$2.7K
Oct 16 – Oct 31: +$235

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +2.1% (2,609 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 30	BUY New Zealand @ 93¢ India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India ↗	$1.4K
Oct 25	SELL England @ 96¢ England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	$1.1K
Oct 20	BUY England @ 85¢ England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	$1.0K
Oct 17	BUY Daniel Dubois @ 99¢ Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley	Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley	$1.1K
Oct 17	BUY India @ 70¢ West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	$1.1K
Sep 24	BUY South Africa @ 81¢ Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia	Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia	$2.2K
Sep 24	BUY Australia @ 75¢ Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia	Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia	$1.5K
Sep 24	BUY Australia @ 73¢ Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia	Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia	$1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793430041, computed 2026-10-31 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1793430041 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed