Subtle-Trumpet
Skill vs luck
Subtle-Trumpet on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 41%–93%) · profit +$3.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 4, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Subtle-Trumpet: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 4, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x65503c7f9e142ac88b1ce09df3363ff77f188451. Data CC BY 4.0.
Subtle-Trumpet: +$3.0K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 41%–93%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 20 – Nov 4
- +$3.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? |
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | $2.8K |
| Nov 2 | BUY Yes @ 78¢ | Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02? ↗ | $1.6K |
| Nov 2 | BUY No
@ 80¢
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? |
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? | $1.7K |
| Nov 2 | BUY Yes @ 71¢ | Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02? ↗ | $2.1K |
| Nov 2 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-11-02? |
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-11-02? | $2.0K |
| Nov 2 | BUY No @ 62¢ | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? ↗ | $1.9K |
| Nov 2 | BUY Yes
@ 92¢
Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-11-02? |
Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-11-02? | $1.0K |
| Nov 2 | BUY Yes
@ 71¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? |
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? | $2.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.