Minor-Ceramic

0x6458a7f44a71697fa26cd98541c8406174497318

Skill vs luck

Minor-Ceramic on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$1.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Minor-Ceramic: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6458a7f44a71697fa26cd98541c8406174497318. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Minor-Ceramic: +$1.1K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.1K
return —
Settled bets
1
$0 staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 21%–100%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 16 – Oct 31
+$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +2.1% (2,609 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 30 SELL Team Spirit @ 80¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
 Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner ↗ $1.1K

All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793430041, computed 2026-10-31 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793430041 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed