Cheerful-Hospital-Leptocephalus
Skill vs luck
Cheerful-Hospital-Leptocephalus on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$2.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Cheerful-Hospital-Leptocephalus: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x62da06d6d05707cab82211d2cdcbbbd92bc8814d. Data CC BY 4.0.
Cheerful-Hospital-Leptocephalus: −$2.9K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- −$2.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY Panthers @ 50¢ | Spread: Packers (-3.5) ↗ | $2.9K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.