Brown-Envy
Skill vs luck
Brown-Envy on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$623. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Brown-Envy: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x62ca6693beafbc2a7a0090abb3e59f1d614a780c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Brown-Envy: −$623 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$623
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes @ 77¢ | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? ↗ | $5.5K |
| Oct 19 | SELL Over @ 44¢ | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 ↗ | $1.8K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.