0x5f61…519a

0x5f618a6331adb46444f01631d735aa05da9a519a

Skill vs luck

0x5f61…519a on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 7%–59%) · profit +$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “0x5f61…519a: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x5f618a6331adb46444f01631d735aa05da9a519a. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

0x5f61…519a: +$1.8K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 7%–59%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

+$1.8K

return +173.0%

Settled bets

$1.1K staked

Won

25.0%

95% range 7%–59%

Mostly bets on

esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Oct 16 – Oct 30: +$1.8K

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +3.5% (2,471 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 29	SELL Roshan Hunters @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs Roshan Hunters - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs Roshan Hunters - Game 2 Winner	$2.1K
Oct 28	SELL GamerLegion @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner ↗	$1.6K
Oct 28	SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winner	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winner	$1.3K
Oct 26	SELL Team Spirit @ 99¢ Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	$2.5K
Oct 23	SELL Dawn Bulls @ 61¢ Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Dawn Bulls - Game 1 Winner	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Dawn Bulls - Game 1 Winner	$1.5K
Oct 23	SELL Nemiga Gaming @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: salamit vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: salamit vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	$1.4K
Oct 23	BUY Nemiga Gaming @ 75¢ Dota 2: salamit vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: salamit vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	$1.1K
Oct 17	SELL Nix Team @ 99¢ Dota 2: Nix Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: Nix Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 2 Winner	$1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed