Candid-Anyone
Skill vs luck
Candid-Anyone on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit −$4.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Candid-Anyone: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x5cb5370e28896efec04ec284cbc11ce0243c7ce9. Data CC BY 4.0.
Candid-Anyone: −$4.5K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 1 – Oct 15
- −$2.8K
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- −$1.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | BUY Novak Djokovic @ 78¢ | Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Ducks
@ 80¢
Spread: Devils (-2.5) |
Spread: Devils (-2.5) | $2.0K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Ziga Sesko
@ 79¢
M15 Offenbach: Filip Krolo vs Ziga Sesko |
M15 Offenbach: Filip Krolo vs Ziga Sesko | $1.2K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Oilers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5 |
Oilers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5 | $1.6K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.