0x5a70…00EA

0x5a70B4FEd814950014E4B9Cd09a9c9C9C95200EA

Skill vs luck

0x5a70…00EA on Limitless: 20 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 84%–100%) · profit +$351. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Limitless whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “0x5a70…00EA: Limitless record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x5a70b4fed814950014e4b9cd09a9c9c9c95200ea. Data CC BY 4.0.

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0x5a70…00EA: +$351 on 20 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 100% (95% range 84%–100%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$351
return +7.4%
Settled bets
20
$4.7K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 84%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 18 – Nov 2
+$351
Settled profit in each period since Sep 5 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.1% (193 positions).

In the live feed

BUY $472
bought Yes @ 96¢ → won (+$21)
BUY $200
bought Yes @ 92¢ → won (+$18)
BUY $447
bought Yes @ 97¢ → won (+$14)
BUY $429
bought Yes @ 95¢ → won (+$23)
BUY $420
bought Yes @ 97¢ → won (+$13)
BUY $89
bought Yes @ 90¢ → won (+$10)
BUY $100
bought Yes @ 84¢ → won (+$19)
BUY $200
bought Yes @ 97¢ → won (+$5)
BUY $100
bought Yes @ 88¢ → won (+$14)
BUY $279
bought Yes @ 76¢ → won (+$91)

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 96¢
Athletic Club
Athletic Club $472
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 92¢ Marseille ↗ $200
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 97¢
Santa Clara
Santa Clara $447
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 95¢ Valencia ↗ $429
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 97¢ Genoa ↗ $420
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 90¢
Arsenal
Arsenal $89
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 84¢
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt $100
Nov 1 BUY Yes @ 97¢
Paris FC
Paris FC $200

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed