Known-Fennel-Horse
Skill vs luck
Known-Fennel-Horse on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$5.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Known-Fennel-Horse: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x599c2cf41b974242996ba9877d61729f717957cc. Data CC BY 4.0.
Known-Fennel-Horse: −$5.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$5.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 0.5 |
Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 0.5 | $6.1K |
| Oct 30 | BUY LOS @ 40¢ | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Senators @ 51¢ | Senators vs. Kings ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Senators @ 51¢ | Senators vs. Kings ↗ | $2.2K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.