Hot-Pump
Skill vs luck
Hot-Pump on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 51%–100%) · profit +$12. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 4, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Hot-Pump: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 4, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x5912794596cd3cc2f36605710fc1fcd6e5886f45. Data CC BY 4.0.
Hot-Pump: +$12 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$2
- Sep 4 – Sep 19
- +$1
- Oct 20 – Nov 4
- +$9
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY Maria Sakkari @ 99.9¢ | Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Maria Sakkari ↗ | $7.1K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Lilli Tagger
@ 99.9¢
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams |
Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams | $1.7K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Alicia Herrero Linana
@ 99.9¢
Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Rebeka Masarova |
Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Rebeka Masarova | $1.5K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.