Keen-Rudiment-Cleat
Skill vs luck
Keen-Rudiment-Cleat on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$7.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Keen-Rudiment-Cleat: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x57be6d29b58c3d1851a24e4e374ee1853e4ff98f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Keen-Rudiment-Cleat: +$7.0K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$7.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | BUY Ian Luca Vertberger @ 53¢ | Villa Maria: Ian Luca Vertberger vs Denis Klok ↗ | $1.1K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Ian Luca Vertberger @ 50¢ | Villa Maria: Ian Luca Vertberger vs Denis Klok ↗ | $5.9K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Marine Szostak
@ 51¢
W75 Poitiers: Marine Szostak vs Julia Stusek |
W75 Poitiers: Marine Szostak vs Julia Stusek | $10K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.