Lazy-Fibroblast-Lapdog
Skill vs luck
Lazy-Fibroblast-Lapdog on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 30%–95%) · profit +$4.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Lazy-Fibroblast-Lapdog: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x5343571beab9b43ffa0bc1cb2cefcd92ec743e2f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Lazy-Fibroblast-Lapdog: +$4.1K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- −$1.9K
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- +$6.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 74¢ | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $4.0K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Yes
@ 63¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-25? |
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-25? | $3.0K |
| Oct 21 | BUY Real Madrid CF
@ 41¢
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) |
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | $2.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Yes @ 48¢ | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? ↗ | $1.9K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.