Muddy-Noodles
Skill vs luck
Muddy-Noodles on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$5.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Muddy-Noodles: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4de718ea6d5aeaff27b7207f3e7025d47e151982. Data CC BY 4.0.
Muddy-Noodles: +$5.3K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 17
- +$3.5K
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- +$1.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY MOUZ @ 46¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team Spirit @ 44¢ | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches ↗ | $2.7K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.