Blue-Opportunist-Hazelnut
Skill vs luck
Blue-Opportunist-Hazelnut on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 22%–79%) · profit +$265. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Blue-Opportunist-Hazelnut: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4d290a7f7dd35d7e7b36b7b2a4e1e96300294891. Data CC BY 4.0.
Blue-Opportunist-Hazelnut: +$265 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 22%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- +$265
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY MOUZ
@ 97¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | $2.5K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 94¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 29 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | $2.6K |
| Oct 29 | SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $2.5K |
| Oct 28 | SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Invictus Gaming @ 99¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 28 | SELL T1 @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 28 | BUY T1 @ 95¢ | LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $2.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.