0x4773…2289
Skill vs luck
0x4773…2289 on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 30%–95%) · profit +$673. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x4773…2289: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4773906be5973bc5cf2b77436da04ead4d152289. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x4773…2289: +$673 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- +$673
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY No @ 99¢ | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02? ↗ | $2.2K |
| Nov 2 | SELL Yes
@ 98¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2? | $1.3K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Under
@ 86¢
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5 |
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5 | $2.3K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Under
@ 88¢
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 6.5 |
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 6.5 | $2.1K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.