Meek-Bolero-Chopstick
Skill vs luck
Meek-Bolero-Chopstick on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 29% (95% range 8%–64%) · profit +$1.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Meek-Bolero-Chopstick: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x470f7d0a5550ac39c576fa41cd9b70e626066a31. Data CC BY 4.0.
Meek-Bolero-Chopstick: +$1.0K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 17 – Oct 2
- −$5.1K
- Oct 2 – Oct 16
- +$12K
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$6.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | SELL Yes
@ 14¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | $4.4K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Yes
@ 53¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? | $6.9K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Down
@ 47¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? |
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | $1.4K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Up
@ 48¢
Ethereum Up or Down on October 14? |
Ethereum Up or Down on October 14? | $2.3K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 23¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? | $3.0K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Down
@ 54¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? |
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | $5.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes @ 15¢ | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? ↗ | $1.7K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes @ 15¢ | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? ↗ | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.