Embarrassed-Loincloth-Lawn
Skill vs luck
Embarrassed-Loincloth-Lawn on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 51%–100%) · profit +$2.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Embarrassed-Loincloth-Lawn: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x46620caab9f78565463fa00e451863d766bfe387. Data CC BY 4.0.
Embarrassed-Loincloth-Lawn: +$2.6K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$2.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 68¢ | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Yes @ 78¢ | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 78¢ | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Yes @ 99.16¢ | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 85¢ | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 72¢ | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? ↗ | $2.8K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?