Insistent-Wriggler
Skill vs luck
Insistent-Wriggler on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit +$16K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Insistent-Wriggler: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3f2fb96d634db7c62dfa4f59d85f30c28d40be86. Data CC BY 4.0.
Insistent-Wriggler: +$16K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 17
- +$20K
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- −$3.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY Timberwolves @ 18¢ | Timberwolves vs. Spurs ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Kings
@ 23¢
Kings vs. Grizzlies |
Kings vs. Grizzlies | $2.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Panthers @ 34¢ | Lions vs. Panthers ↗ | $10K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.