Zigzag-Chop
Skill vs luck
Zigzag-Chop on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$801. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Zigzag-Chop: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3cad9826407cdadc96bb85cab6f03ff8d7166fea. Data CC BY 4.0.
Zigzag-Chop: −$801 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$269
- Oct 1 – Oct 16
- −$1.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Yes
@ 87¢
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | $2.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 83¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No @ 92¢ | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October? |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October? | $1.1K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.