Remote-Spur
Skill vs luck
Remote-Spur on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 13% (95% range 2%–47%) · profit −$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Remote-Spur: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x35d3a86dcf598864caf99f7e4f98c4ee9169e506. Data CC BY 4.0.
Remote-Spur: −$1.8K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 13% (95% range 2%–47%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- −$1
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- −$160
- Oct 3 – Oct 17
- −$104
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- −$1.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY Over @ 58¢ | Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5 ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 22 | SELL
@ 66¢
Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5 AND AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 AND AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 |
Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5 AND AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 AND AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 20 | SELL
@ 99.9¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 AND Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5 AND Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5 |
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 AND Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5 AND Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5 | $2.5K |
| Oct 12 | BUY Yes
@ 45¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? |
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? | $1.0K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 |
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 | $1.7K |
| Oct 6 | SELL England
@ 90¢
Spread: England (-1.5) |
Spread: England (-1.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Over
@ 90¢
Croatia vs. England: O/U 6.5 |
Croatia vs. England: O/U 6.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes @ 57¢ | Will England win on 2026-10-03? ↗ | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.