Wet-Suspect
Skill vs luck
Wet-Suspect on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit −$5.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 19, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Wet-Suspect: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 19, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x34e341432d2ba9e81b79808083d75b8f2be91b37. Data CC BY 4.0.
Wet-Suspect: −$5.2K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- −$5.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY No @ 85¢ | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $3.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons @ 42¢ | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs ↗ | $2.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY FURIA @ 55¢ | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage ↗ | $3.5K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?