Fast-Eclipse
Skill vs luck
Fast-Eclipse on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$82. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 4, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Fast-Eclipse: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 4, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x324aed2a00c8f485f636b7d5916fcf44c9a53721. Data CC BY 4.0.
Fast-Eclipse: +$82 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$82
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY No @ 95¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November? ↗ | $9.5K |
| Nov 2 | BUY No @ 95¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November? ↗ | $4.7K |
| Nov 2 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? | $23K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.