Anxious-Anthropology

0x31b9265d1e9a59b12897867e69245699011f150b

Skill vs luck

Anxious-Anthropology on Polymarket: 10 settled bets · won 20% (95% range 6%–51%) · profit +$1.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Anxious-Anthropology: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x31b9265d1e9a59b12897867e69245699011f150b. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Anxious-Anthropology: +$1.0K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 6%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.0K
return +50.1%
Settled bets
10
$2.0K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 6%–51%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 17 – Oct 1
−$2
Oct 1 – Oct 15
−$2.0K
Oct 15 – Oct 29
+$3.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +1.3% (2,530 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 28 SELL Team Spirit @ 57¢ Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs ↗ $1.4K
Oct 28 SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs ↗ $3.8K
Oct 28 SELL PARIVISION @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs ↗ $2.6K
Oct 24 SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B $1.9K
Oct 23 SELL Team Liquid @ 81¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A $1.7K
Oct 16 SELL Royal Bear @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Royal Bear vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Dota 2: Royal Bear vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs $1.5K
Oct 15 SELL Team Resilience @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs $1.6K
Oct 15 SELL Royal Bear @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Execration vs Royal Bear (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Dota 2: Execration vs Royal Bear (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793257219, computed 2026-10-29 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793257219 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed