Curly-Atmosphere

0x31a00de84f7a9cd5eedc6eb04df1832da56c6d52

Skill vs luck

Curly-Atmosphere on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 20% (95% range 4%–62%) · profit +$157. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Curly-Atmosphere: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x31a00de84f7a9cd5eedc6eb04df1832da56c6d52. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Curly-Atmosphere: +$157 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

+$157

return +7.8%

Settled bets

$2.0K staked

Won

20.0%

95% range 4%–62%

Mostly bets on

esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Sep 3 – Sep 17: −$5
Oct 1 – Oct 16: +$1.4K
Oct 16 – Oct 30: −$1.2K

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +3.5% (2,471 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 29	SELL Vitality @ 56¢ Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs ↗	$1.5K
Oct 4	BUY @ 43¢ LoL: Solary vs Barça eSports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage AND LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs AND LoL: Galions vs The Secret Club Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage AND Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	LoL: Solary vs Barça eSports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage AND LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs AND LoL: Galions vs The Secret Club Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage AND Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	$1.2K
Oct 3	BUY FURIA Esports @ 59¢ LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	$2.0K
Sep 10	SELL T1 Academy @ 99.9¢ LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs	LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs	$1.7K
Sep 6	SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢ LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ↗	$1.4K
Sep 5	SELL Cloud9 @ 99.9¢ LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	$1.4K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed