Dark-Clearance
Skill vs luck
Dark-Clearance on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 19%–81%) · profit −$492. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Dark-Clearance: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x30e9a7580ec24e3596698a1e4173958cc8d03224. Data CC BY 4.0.
Dark-Clearance: −$492 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- +$1.7K
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$2.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY Anyones Legend @ 55¢ | LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 26 | BUY T1 @ 89¢ | LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Gen.G @ 93¢ | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Movistar KOI @ 27¢ | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 24 | SELL LYON @ 99.9¢ | LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 1 | SELL Vietnam
@ 81¢
LoL: Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei (BO3) - Asian Games Playoffs |
LoL: Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei (BO3) - Asian Games Playoffs | $1.7K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?