Elliptical-Empire
Skill vs luck
Elliptical-Empire on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 44%–100%) · profit +$374. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 4, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Elliptical-Empire: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 4, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x2ab398cbaa401ea101280dd23bc2a6eed10c3a81. Data CC BY 4.0.
Elliptical-Empire: +$374 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 20 – Nov 4
- +$374
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes @ 97¢ | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes
@ 84¢
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? |
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? | $1.2K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 92¢ | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $1.1K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.