Humongous-Demand-Neighborhood
Skill vs luck
Humongous-Demand-Neighborhood on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 20% (95% range 4%–62%) · profit −$442. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Humongous-Demand-Neighborhood: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x283d2f94da9d2307b0eab9ec8088bc52df8d4cad. Data CC BY 4.0.
Humongous-Demand-Neighborhood: −$442 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$442
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Merab Dvalishvili @ 53¢ | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner ↗ | $4.5K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 53¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 67¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY GamerLegion @ 41¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 22 | SELL TheMongolz
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TheMongolz - Map 3 Winner |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TheMongolz - Map 3 Winner | $2.1K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?