Rusty-Fiberglass
Skill vs luck
Rusty-Fiberglass on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 19%–81%) · profit +$26. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Rusty-Fiberglass: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x2801d30fb7eeedfd655181e50295f5c97345ca4a. Data CC BY 4.0.
Rusty-Fiberglass: +$26 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 17 – Oct 1
- +$1.5K
- Oct 1 – Oct 16
- −$1.5K
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- −$1
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | SELL Xinran Sun @ 99.9¢ | Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Alexander Zverev @ 69¢ | China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 71¢
India vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score |
India vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Xinran Sun
@ 99.05¢
Game Spread: Cristina Bucsa (-3.5) vs Xinran Sun (+3.5) |
Game Spread: Cristina Bucsa (-3.5) vs Xinran Sun (+3.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Las Vegas Aces
@ 54¢
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5) |
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Qinwen Zheng
@ 90¢
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi |
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi | $1.4K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.