Spirited-Automaton-Choosing
Skill vs luck
Spirited-Automaton-Choosing on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit −$2.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Spirited-Automaton-Choosing: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x23f810419daedc0c9f859f6ae9147905cb6acd2f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Spirited-Automaton-Choosing: −$2.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- −$2.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | BUY Bulls @ 67¢ | Knicks vs. Bulls ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Bulls @ 68¢ | Knicks vs. Bulls ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Spurs @ 84¢ | Spurs vs. Jazz ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27? |
Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27? | $4.1K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.