Extra-Small-Cyclamen

0x23395c3276a6788457d168da579fb5c254ceadc2

Skill vs luck

Extra-Small-Cyclamen on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 51%–100%) · profit +$634. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Extra-Small-Cyclamen: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 4, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x23395c3276a6788457d168da579fb5c254ceadc2. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Extra-Small-Cyclamen: +$634 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

+$634

return +4.2%

Settled bets

$15K staked

Won

100.0%

95% range 51%–100%

Mostly bets on

esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$104
Sep 19 – Oct 4: +$531

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −0.2% (2,623 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Nov 2	BUY potn9ki @ 62¢ Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C ↗	$1.6K
Nov 2	BUY HellNight- @ 99¢ Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C ↗	$1.2K
Nov 2	BUY HellNight- @ 99¢ Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C ↗	$1.2K
Oct 3	BUY Cake Team @ 98¢ Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Cake Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs	Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Cake Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs	$2.0K
Oct 3	BUY Cake Team @ 99¢ Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Cake Team - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Cake Team - Game 2 Winner	$1.6K
Oct 3	BUY Cake Team @ 97¢ Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Cake Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs	Dota 2: Rostik Team vs Cake Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs	$1.9K
Sep 21	BUY avice Team @ 97¢ Dota 2: Cake Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A	Dota 2: Cake Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A	$2.9K
Sep 21	BUY avice Team @ 89¢ Dota 2: Cake Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A	Dota 2: Cake Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A	$2.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793775663, computed 2026-11-04 07:01 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1793775663 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed