0x1eae…c2ab
Skill vs luck
0x1eae…c2ab on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 44%–100%) · profit +$9.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0x1eae…c2ab: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1eae27fbc5e6a2f82bdd732bd1d2e0922648c2ab. Data CC BY 4.0.
0x1eae…c2ab: +$9.5K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- +$9.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 77¢ | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $9.9K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 77¢ | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $9.9K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 89¢ | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $7.0K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 64¢ | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $4.9K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.