Official-Dispute
Skill vs luck
Official-Dispute on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$2.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Official-Dispute: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1e91db810ef641f1eeaea358c231cbed7da00042. Data CC BY 4.0.
Official-Dispute: −$2.0K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$2.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY Clippers @ 46¢ | Clippers vs. Warriors ↗ | $1.9K |
| Nov 1 | SELL Patriots @ 94¢ | Patriots vs. Dolphins ↗ | $1.2K |
| Nov 1 | BUY
@ 54¢
Chargers vs. Rams AND Patriots vs. Dolphins |
Chargers vs. Rams AND Patriots vs. Dolphins | $1.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.