Kind-Radiator-Bugle
Skill vs luck
Kind-Radiator-Bugle on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$190. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Kind-Radiator-Bugle: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1df5a262f11bba69ffcd7962813484b6c5e5abf7. Data CC BY 4.0.
Kind-Radiator-Bugle: +$190 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- +$190
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | BUY No @ 84¢ | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Grizzlies @ 99.9¢ | Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers ↗ | $2.0K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.