Monthly-Task
Skill vs luck
Monthly-Task on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$1.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Monthly-Task: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x1d1302ac82a59e04805831b74bffc7b84a573c2f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Monthly-Task: +$1.9K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$1.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | SELL 76ers @ 99.9¢ | Bucks vs. 76ers ↗ | $4.0K |
| Oct 25 | SELL 76ers @ 99.9¢ | Bucks vs. 76ers ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 25 | BUY 76ers @ 77¢ | Bucks vs. 76ers ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 25 | BUY 76ers @ 84¢ | Bucks vs. 76ers ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Hornets @ 62¢ | Heat vs. Hornets ↗ | $1.9K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?