Ethical-Sow-Sheath
Skill vs luck
Ethical-Sow-Sheath on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 44% (95% range 19%–73%) · profit +$638. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Ethical-Sow-Sheath: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x113352cf0c2d09e9b0c7308bdac8694f460442c6. Data CC BY 4.0.
Ethical-Sow-Sheath: +$638 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 19%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- +$638
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Hapoel Ramat Gan Givatayim FC win on 2026-11-02? |
Will Hapoel Ramat Gan Givatayim FC win on 2026-11-02? | $2.1K |
| Nov 2 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Al Quwa Al Jawiya win on 2026-11-02? |
Will Al Quwa Al Jawiya win on 2026-11-02? | $2.1K |
| Nov 2 | SELL No
@ 99.55¢
Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-11-02? |
Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-11-02? | $2.2K |
| Nov 2 | BUY No
@ 91¢
Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-11-02? |
Will FK Kudrivka win on 2026-11-02? | $2.0K |
| Nov 2 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Will Hapoel Ramat Gan Givatayim FC win on 2026-11-02? |
Will Hapoel Ramat Gan Givatayim FC win on 2026-11-02? | $2.0K |
| Nov 1 | BUY No @ 93¢ | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Nov 1 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-01? |
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-01? | $2.2K |
| Nov 1 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-01? |
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-01? | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.