Showy-Setting
Skill vs luck
Showy-Setting on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit −$5.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Showy-Setting: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0eed60c611269d774feae6a660e1ae36572f020f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Showy-Setting: −$5.2K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 31
- −$5.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | BUY Under @ 48¢ | Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5 ↗ | $3.1K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Predators
@ 40¢
Lightning vs. Predators |
Lightning vs. Predators | $3.5K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Over
@ 46¢
Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 223.5 |
Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 223.5 | $2.2K |
| Oct 29 | BUY Pacers @ 36¢ | Pacers vs. Heat ↗ | $1.7K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Eternal Fire
@ 44¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | $1.5K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.