Circular-Tintype-Accordion
Skill vs luck
Circular-Tintype-Accordion on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 44% (95% range 19%–73%) · profit −$1.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Circular-Tintype-Accordion: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x06190f7c8d25d7120e8e25de29df6b45e4b46680. Data CC BY 4.0.
Circular-Tintype-Accordion: −$1.6K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 19%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- −$1.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 36¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 31 | BUY LOS @ 82¢ | LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Team Spirit @ 79¢ | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 31 | SELL Karmine Corp @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 31 | BUY LYON @ 76¢ | LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports @ 72¢ | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 30 | SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.9K |
| Oct 30 | BUY Team Spirit @ 83¢ | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs ↗ | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.