Yawning-Knuckle
Skill vs luck
Yawning-Knuckle on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$1.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 4, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Yawning-Knuckle: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 4, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x052cc31cb18b95c4b5272a46db247ac7094a404e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Yawning-Knuckle: +$1.1K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 20 – Nov 4
- +$1.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | BUY Raiders @ 47¢ | Raiders vs. Jets ↗ | $1.0K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Ravens
@ 54¢
Spread: Bills (-3.5) |
Spread: Bills (-3.5) | $1.0K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Raiders @ 50¢ | Spread: Jets (-1.5) ↗ | $1.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.