Ragged-Ruby
Skill vs luck
Ragged-Ruby on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$1. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Ragged-Ruby: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x041b48e5ce04e2c9ec99a59735ec279d7645842e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Ragged-Ruby: +$1 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- +$1
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY No @ 99.6¢ | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 18 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 12-18? |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 12-18? | $1.2K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.