Melodic-Entertainment-Cacao
Skill vs luck
Melodic-Entertainment-Cacao on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$5.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Melodic-Entertainment-Cacao: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0235dc24b38772bf3339a9e5ec5db3d3a05fcee5. Data CC BY 4.0.
Melodic-Entertainment-Cacao: −$5.3K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- −$3.6K
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- −$1.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | SELL Yes @ 76¢ | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? ↗ | $5.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes @ 50¢ | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? ↗ | $3.6K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.