Frigid-Sin

0x00632523fd701f7ea73601ee23cd7ff76e3cd005

Skill vs luck

Frigid-Sin on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–49%) · profit −$306. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.

Post on X Telegram WhatsApp Email

Cite: Hopium Games, “Frigid-Sin: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x00632523fd701f7ea73601ee23cd7ff76e3cd005. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Frigid-Sin: −$306 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–49%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$306
return —
Settled bets
4
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–49%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 17 – Nov 1
−$306
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +3.8% (2,670 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 31 SELL Yes @ 87¢ Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-31? ↗ $1.2K
Oct 30 SELL Yes @ 93¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-30?
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-30? $1.6K
Oct 30 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30? ↗ $2.0K
Oct 30 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30?
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-30? $1.8K
Oct 30 BUY @ 68¢
FC Rapid 1923 vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-10-30?
FC Rapid 1923 vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-10-30? $1.5K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed