Profuse-Sandbar
Skill vs luck
Profuse-Sandbar on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$18. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 30, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Profuse-Sandbar: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 30, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x0015c5a76490d303e837d79dd5cf6a3825e4d5b0. Data CC BY 4.0.
Profuse-Sandbar: +$18 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 16 – Oct 30
- +$18
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | BUY No @ 99.39¢ | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28? ↗ | $2.9K |
| Oct 28 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | $3.4K |
| Oct 3 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | $3.4K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.