Limitless market · Other
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Limitless ↗
5 whales traded $2.8K on this market since Oct 19, 75% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 8 seconds later would have cost 0.7¢ more per share, with 95% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 25% of the whale buying on it. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$1.3K and 1 lost −$1.4K: −$136 between them. Biggest win: 0xc54f…50f3, +$554 on Yes. Biggest loss: 0xb19f…1196, −$1.4K on No.
The whales on this market
5 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb19f…1196
2 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 77¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| 0xc54f…50f3
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 23¢ | $280 | $797 | +$554 |
| 0x7fcf…02a3
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 25¢ | $100 | — | +$300 |
| 0x50e9…c13e
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $99 | — |
| 0x3827…1d31
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 18¢ | $90 | — | +$410 |
Where the whale money went
-
No lost$1.4K75% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
Yes won$47025% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $897 sold
From the whale trades we capture ($50+) on this market, Oct 19 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro | $7.5K | 9 | Settled | |
| Napoli | $4.2K | 3 | Settled | |
| Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily | $5.1K | 13 | Settled | |
| Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily | $4.1K | 15 | Settled | |
| Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily | $2.8K | 17 | Settled | |
| Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic | $22K | 3 | Won: No | |
| Learner Tien vs Hubert Hurkacz | $13K | 3 | Won: No | |
| Lockheed Martin (LMT) Up or Down - Daily | $8.0K | 20 | Won: Down |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?