0xC54F…50F3

0xC54F35468EeaDF77FeE9A70A9C334333938F50F3

Skill vs luck

0xC54F…50F3 on Limitless: 18 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 29%–71%) · profit −$1.1K. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Limitless whales returned −11.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “0xC54F…50F3: Limitless record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc54f35468eeadf77fee9a70a9c334333938f50f3. Data CC BY 4.0.

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0xC54F…50F3: −$1.1K on 18 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 50% (95% range 29%–71%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$1.1K
return −17.7%
Settled bets
18
$6.4K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 29%–71%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 10 – Oct 27
−$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Sep 5 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.9% (143 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 26 BUY Yes @ 51¢
Xinyu Wang vs Alycia Parks
Xinyu Wang vs Alycia Parks $300
Oct 25 BUY Yes @ 31¢ Flávio Bolsonaro ↗ $300
Oct 25 BUY Yes @ 32¢ Flávio Bolsonaro ↗ $400
Oct 25 SELL Yes @ 67¢ Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ↗ $797
Oct 25 BUY Yes @ 61¢
Barcelona
Barcelona $160
Oct 25 BUY Yes @ 70¢
Marseille
Marseille $250
Oct 25 BUY Yes @ 46¢
Monaco
Monaco $400
Oct 25 SELL Yes @ 96¢
Newcastle
Newcastle $426

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793084411, computed 2026-10-27 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793084411 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed