Peppery-Scent
Skill vs luck
Peppery-Scent on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$5.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Peppery-Scent: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xfec3069089eaf03c68f473436d108750c377c4dc. Data CC BY 4.0.
Peppery-Scent: −$5.1K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$5.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY 76ers
@ 54¢
Spread: 76ers (-11.5) |
Spread: 76ers (-11.5) | $3.9K |
| Oct 23 | SELL GamerLegion @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Knicks @ 63¢ | 76ers vs. Knicks ↗ | $1.2K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?