Outstanding-Signet-Rod
Skill vs luck
Outstanding-Signet-Rod on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 40% (95% range 12%–77%) · profit +$66. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Outstanding-Signet-Rod: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xfe979bbfb0f14be3c5bc7ba5ba4ee5f8089a361e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Outstanding-Signet-Rod: +$66 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- +$69
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$3
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 27 | SELL Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢ | LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 99¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY PARIVISION @ 95¢ | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.1K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?