Well-Informed-Chronometer
Skill vs luck
Well-Informed-Chronometer on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$1.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Well-Informed-Chronometer: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xfe021343d14da382f5f411d52f015dbc889bbe9d. Data CC BY 4.0.
Well-Informed-Chronometer: +$1.0K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$1.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $5.9K |
| Oct 24 | BUY LYON @ 80¢ | LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.7K |
| Oct 23 | BUY T1 @ 87¢ | LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $4.2K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?