Enlightened-Deposit-Importance
0xfc3998a30b2cd92da2758c8a24a92d773643398a
Enlightened-Deposit-Importance: +$14K on 67 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 45% (95% range 34%–57%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$14K
return +29.7%
Settled bets
67
$46K staked
Won
44.8%
95% range 34%–57%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$7.2K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$3.8K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$2.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
CA Rosario Central vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5 |
CA Rosario Central vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5 | $2.4K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Guatemala vs. Suriname: O/U 0.5 |
Guatemala vs. Suriname: O/U 0.5 | $1.3K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
North Macedonia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 |
North Macedonia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 | $1.3K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5 |
AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5 | $1.2K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Over
@ 99¢
Jamaica vs. Guatemala: O/U 4.5 |
Jamaica vs. Guatemala: O/U 4.5 | $1.2K |
| Sep 25 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Haiti win on 2026-09-24? | $1.8K |
| Sep 22 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5 |
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5 | $1.8K |
| Sep 21 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
CA Paranaense vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5 |
CA Paranaense vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5 | $2.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.