Remorseful-Effort-Taxpayer

0xfb8f260bcbc2d5a4eabc57cd7c7334994ee05cd5

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Remorseful-Effort-Taxpayer: −$7.1K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 38% (95% range 14%–69%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$7.1K
return −42.4%
Settled bets
8
$17K staked
Won
37.5%
95% range 14%–69%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$8.6K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 12 BUY JD Gaming @ 43¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner $1.4K
Oct 8 SELL 1win @ 56¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner $1.8K
Oct 2 BUY T1 Academy @ 60¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner $2.1K
Sep 30 BUY Solary @ 60¢
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner $2.7K
Sep 19 BUY Aurora @ 74¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner $2.4K
Sep 19 BUY Movistar KOI @ 38¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner $1.3K
Sep 19 BUY Team Cobra @ 30¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner $1.8K
Sep 19 BUY JD Gaming @ 48¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $3.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed