Complicated-Season-Synergy

0xfb3fc3fcb11e7ca071650b2bc7e04317102f5447

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Complicated-Season-Synergy: −$2.0K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.0K
return −101.1%
Settled bets
3
$2.0K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–56%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 25 – Oct 14
−$2.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7% (2,280 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 13 SELL FC Barcelona @ 99.9¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) $11K
Oct 11 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 5.5
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 5.5 $12K
Oct 9 BUY @ 25¢
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) AND BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: SV Werder Bremen O/U 2.5 Corners AND Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) AND BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: SV Werder Bremen O/U 2.5 Corners AND Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5 $1.4K
Oct 4 BUY Yes @ 19¢
Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?
Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? $2.0K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed